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Dissemination TRANSrisk Publications

Working Documents

A set of reports mainly laying a sound basis on which policy options can be formulated. For example, working documents may present methodologies, tools or indicators and empirical data.

 

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 1: "Energy pathways for achieving Kenya’s nationally determined contribution to global efforts to mitigate climate change", November 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 2: "Macroeconomic implications of switching to process-emission-free iron and steel production in Europe", November 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 3: "Structural analysis of the offshore wind innovation system in Poland", December 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 4: "Optimal RES differentiation under technological uncertainty", December 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 5: "How Kenya can transform the charcoal sector and create new opportunities for low-carbon rural development", September 2016

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 6: "Agent-based modelling: A tool for addressing the complexity of environment and development policy issues", December 2016

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 7: "Pobreza Energética e Impuesto a las emisiones de CΟ2 en Chile", June 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 8: "How can we decarbonize road freight transport by 2030? - Stakeholder-driven scenarios for the future of heavy vehicles in Sweden", June 2017

TRANSrisk Working Documents, Issue 9: "Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model", December 2018

Scientific Publications

Scientific publications have been presented through numerous scientific conferences, and published in widely recognised scientific journals.

TRANSrisk scientific publications are also archived at the Zenodo repository, and featured in the OpenAIRE platform

 

 Nikas, A., Klironomou, M., Marinakis, V., & Doukas, H. (2015). Comparison of alternative pathways for the transition of EU countries to low carbon economies using Fuzzy Cognitive Maps. Proceedings of the 4th Student Conference of the Hellenic Operational Research Society, 17-18 December 2015, Athens, Greece

 Kontochristopoulos, I., Stavrakas, V., Papadelis, S., & Flamos, A. (2015). A Python-implemented model to simulate the residential demand of electricity. Proceedings of the 4th Student Conference of the Hellenic Operational Research Society, 17-18 December 2015, Athens, Greece

 Nikas A., Doukas H. (2016) Developing Robust Climate Policies: A Fuzzy Cognitive Map Approach. In: Doumpos M., Zopounidis C., Grigoroudis E. (eds), Robustness Analysis in Decision Aiding, Optimization, and Analytics. International Series in Operations Research & Management Science (pp. 239-263). Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33121-8_11

 Markandya, A., Arto, I., González-Eguino, M., & Román, M. V. (2016). Towards a green energy economy? Tracking the employment effects of low-carbon technologies in the European Union. Applied energy, 179, 1342-1350. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.02.122

 González-Eguino, M., & Neumann, M. B. (2016). Significant implications of permafrost thawing for climate change control. Climatic Change, 136(2), 381-388. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1666-5

 Johnson, F., Bossner, S., Suljada, T., Takama, T., Juwita, C., Budiman, I., Sari, A., Widodo, E. (2016, September). Sustainability and Resilience of Bioenergy for Climate Change in Bali and East Java: Scoping and Envisioning. Paper presented at the 15th World Renewable Energy Congress 2016, Jakarta, Indonesia

 González‐Eguino, M., Neumann, M. B., Arto, I., Capellán‐Perez, I., & Faria, S. H. (2017). Mitigation implications of an ice‐free summer in the Arctic Ocean. Earth's Future, 5(1), 59-66. https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000429

 González-Eguino, M., Olabe, A., & Ribera, T. (2017). New Coal-Fired Plants Jeopardise Paris Agreement. Sustainability, 9(2), 168. https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/su9020168

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. W. (2017). Macroeconomic implications of a 2℃-compatible transition path in the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists - AURÖ Nachwuchsworkshop 2017, 14 February 2017, Basel, Switzerland

 van de Ven, D. J., Gonzalez-Eguino, M., & Arto, I. (2017). The role of behavioural changes in the climate change mitigation portfolio. Paper presented at the Energy for Society: 1st International Conference on Energy Research & Social Science, 2-5 April 2017, Melia Sitges, Spain

 Gonzales, L., & Cerda, R. (2017). Risk and energy poverty: Evidence from Chile. Paper presented at the Energy for Society: 1st International Conference on Energy Research & Social Science, 2-5 April 2017, Melia Sitges, Spain

 Szendrei, K., & van der Gaast, W. (2017). Solar PV+ in the Netherlands: for the people or by the people? - Assessing the impacts of different routes for rapid solar PV expansion in the Netherlands. Paper presented at the Energy for Society: 1st International Conference on Energy Research & Social Science, 2-5 April 2017, Melia Sitges, Spain

 Nikas, A., & Doukas, H., (2017). ESQAPE: A Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping decision support tool for evaluating climate policy. Paper presented at the Energy for Society: 1st International Conference on Energy Research & Social Science, 2-5 April 2017, Melia Sitges, Spain

 Johnson, O., & Devisscher, T., (2017). Agency and power in energy transitions in Kenya and Indonesia. Paper presented at the Energy for Society: 1st International Conference on Energy Research & Social Science, 2-5 April 2017, Melia Sitges, Spain

 Arias-Gaviria, J., van der Zwaan, B., Kober, T., & Arango-Aramburo, S. (2017). The prospects for small hydropower in Colombia. Renewable energy, 107, 204-214. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2017.01.054

 Angelopoulos, D., Doukas, H., Psarras, J., & Stamtsis, G. (2017). Risk-based analysis and policy implications for renewable energy investments in Greece. Energy Policy, 105, 512-523. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.048

 Witajewski-Baltvilks, J., & Fisher, C. (2017). Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model. Paper presented at the 6th Annual Summer Conference of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 31 May – 2 June 2017, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

 Szpor, A., & Witajewski-Baltvilks, J. (2017). The Costs of Transition in a Coal-dependent Economy. Paper presented at the 6th Annual Summer Conference of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 31 May – 2 June 2017, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

 Psarras, V., Nikas, A., Doukas, H. & Flamos, A. (2017). Group decision making and consensus control in climate policy: a multiple-criteria decision support tool. Paper presented at the 6th International Symposium & 28th National Conference on Operational Research, 8-9 June 2017, Thessaloniki, Greece

 Neofytou, H., Karakosta, C., & Doukas, H. (2017). Assessing Climate and Energy Policy Scenarios based on their Socioeconomic Impacts: A Multi Criteria Approach. Paper presented at the 6th International Symposium & 28th National Conference on Operational Research, 8-9 June 2017, Thessaloniki, Greece

 Spijker, E., & Anger – Kraavi, A., (2017). Assessing the Social, Economic and Environmental Effects of ‘Integrated Manure Management’ as Low-Emission Transition Pathway in the Livestock Sector in the Netherlands. Paper presented at the 25th European Biomass Conference & Exhibition, 12-15 June 2017, Stockholm, Sweden

 Johnson, O., Ogeya, M., Wanjiru, H., Devisscher, T., Johnson, F. (2017, June). A multi-level perspective on geothermal power development in Kenya. Paper presented at the International Sustainability Transitions Conference 2017, Gothenburg, Sweden

 Johnson, F., Suljada, T., Johnson, O., Takama, T., Ogeya, M., Wanjiru H. (2017, June). Bioenergy and Sustainability Transitions in a Development context: a comparison for Sweden, Indonesia and Kenya. Paper presented at the International Sustainability Transitions Conference 2017, Gothenburg, Sweden

 Nykvist, B., Suljada, T., & Carlsen, H. (2017, June). How on earth do we decarbonise heavy road based transport? Assessing the plausible pathways to deep and rapid decarbonisation of road based freight transport. Paper presented at the International Sustainability Transitions Conference 2017, Gothenburg, Sweden

 Witajewski-Baltvilks, J., & Fisher, C. (2017). Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model. Paper presented at the 23rd Annual Conference of the European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, 28 June – 1 July 2017, Athens, Greece

 Witajewski-Baltvilks, J., & Fisher, C. (2017). Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model. Paper presented at the 16th Edition of the Warsaw International Economic Meeting, 4-6 July 2017, Warsaw, Poland

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. W. (2017). Macroeconomic implications of a 2℃-compatible transition path in the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the International Conference on Economic Modelling 2017, 5-7 July 2017, Ljubiljana, Slovenia

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. W. (2017). Macroeconomic implications of a 2℃-compatible transition path in the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the 36th Edition of International Energy Workshop, 12-14 July 2017, College Park, Maryland, USA

 Witajewski-Baltvilks, J., & Fisher, C. (2017). Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model. Paper presented at the 36th Edition of International Energy Workshop, 12-14 July 2017, Maryland, USA

 van de Ven, D. J., González-Eguino, M., & Arto, I. (2017). The potential of behavioural change for climate change mitigation: a case study for the European Union. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 1-34. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11027-017-9763-y

 Nikas, A., Doukas, H., Lieu, J., Alvarez Tinoco, R., Charisopoulos, V., & van der Gaast, W. (2017). Managing stakeholder knowledge for the evaluation of innovation systems in the face of climate change. Journal of Knowledge Management, 21(5), 1013-1034. https://dx.doi.org/10.1108/JKM-01-2017-0006

 van de Ven, D.-J., Capellan-Perez, I., Arto, I., Cazcarro, I., Gonzalez-Eguino, M., & de Castro Carranzo, C. (2017). The Potential Land-use Impacts from Solar Energy. Paper presented at the GCAM Community Modeling Workshop, 7-9 November 2017, College Park, Maryland, USA

 Sampedro, J., Arto, I., Gonzalez-Eguino, M., & Pizarro-Irizar, C. (2017). Health co-benefits associated with different transition pathways. Paper presented at the GCAM Community Modeling Workshop, 7-9 November 2017, College Park, Maryland, USA

 Dalla Longa, F., & van der Zwaan, B. (2017). Do Kenya’s climate change mitigation ambitions necessitate large-scale renewable energy deployment and dedicated low-carbon energy policy?. Renewable Energy, 113, 1559-1568. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2017.06.026

 Spijker, E. (2017). Framework for assessing co-effects and trade-offs of low-emission transition pathways to meet 2030 climate objectives in the Dutch livestock sector. Paper presented at the 3rd edition of the ManuREsource conference, 27-28 November 2017, Eindhoven, The Netherlands

 van der Zwaan, B., Boccalon, A., & Dalla Longa, F. (2017). Prospects for hydropower in Ethiopia: An energy-water nexus analysis, Energy Strategy Reviews, 19, 19-30. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2017.11.001

 Kanellou, E., Doukas, H., & Nikas, A. (2018). Behavioural TOPSIS in a real-life climate policy application in Greece. Paper presented at the 16th Special Conference of HELORS, 15-17 February, 2018, Piraeus, Greece.

 Markandya, A., Sampedro, J., Smith, S. J., Van Dingenen, R., Pizarro-Irizar, C., Arto, I., & González-Eguino, M. (2018). Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study. The Lancet Planetary Health, 2(3), e126–e133. https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(18)30029-9

 Nikas, A., Doukas, H., & López, L. M. (2018). A group decision making tool for assessing climate policy risks against multiple criteria. Heliyon, 4(3), e00588. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00588

 Bachner, G., Mayer, J., & Steininger, K. W. (2018). The economy-wide effects of deep decarbonization and its uncertainties - The case of the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the 19. Österreichischer Klimatag, 23-25 April 2018, Salzburg, Austria.

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. W. (2018). Macroeconomic implications of switching to process-emission-free iron and steel production in Europe. Paper presented at the 19. Österreichischer Klimatag, 23-25 April 2018, Salzburg, Austria.

 Neofytou, H., Nikas, A., Siskos, E., & Doukas, H. (2018). Sustainable Energy Transition Readiness: A multicriteria assessment based on PROMETHEE II. Paper presented at the ICDSST – PROMETHEE Days 2018 Proceedings – The EWG-DSS 2018 International Conference on Decision Support System Technology & PROMETHEE Days 2018, 22-25 May, 2018, Heraklion, Greece.

 Savvidou, G., & Nykvist, B. (2018). Electric road systems in the European Union- Potential and assessment of uncertainties based on Swedish case study. Paper presented at the 2nd Electric Road Systems Conference, 13-14 June 2018, Stockholm, Sweden.

 Sorman, A., Garcia-Muros, X., Pizarro-Irizar, C., Gonzalez-Eguino, M., & Arto, I. (2018). The Triple Point of Energy Transitions: Stakeholder perceptions, Policy Mixes and the Climate Change and Energy Transition Law in Spain. Paper presented at the 7th International Symposium & 29th National Conference on Operational Research, 14 June 2018, Chania, Greece.

 Nikas, A., Stavrakas, V., Psarras, V., Kanellou, E., Makarouni, I., Doukas, H., & Flamos, A. (2018). Operational Research in support of energy and climate policy: The case of Greece. Paper presented at the 7th International Symposium & 29th National Conference on Operational Research, 14 June 2018, Chania, Greece.

 van Vliet, O., Hanger-Kopp, S., Nikas, A., Spijker, E., Carlsen, H., & Lieu, J. (2018). Stakeholders find the missing risks. Paper presented at the 7th International Symposium & 29th National Conference on Operational Research, 14 June 2018, Chania, Greece.

 Virla, L., Abel, R., Fitzpatrick, C., & Lieu, J. (2018). Consensus building in stakeholder engagement processes for natural resources management. Paper presented at the 7th International Symposium & 29th National Conference on Operational Research, 14 June 2018, Chania, Greece.

 Stavrakas, V., Michas, S., Papadelis, S., & Flamos, A. (2018). The Achieving a low-carbon power system through empowering consumers to produce and store clean energy at the local level: The case of Greece. Paper presented at the 7th International Symposium & 29th National Conference on Operational Research, 14 June 2018, Chania, Greece.

 Antosiewicz, M., & van Vliet, O. (2018). Is a mix of wind and gas a feasible alternative to coal in Poland?. Paper presented at the 11th International Workshop on Empirical Methods in Energy Economics, 14-15 June 2018, Milan, Italy.

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. (2018) Macroeconomic implications of switching to process-emission-free iron and steel production in Europe. Paper presented at the 6th World congress of Environmental and Resource Economists, 25-29 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

 Bachner, G., Mayer, J., Anger-Kraavi, A., Steininger, K., & Smith, A. (2018) The economy-wide effects of deep decarbonization and its uncertainties - The case of the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the 6th World congress of Environmental and Resource Economists, 25-29 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

 Witajewski-Baltvilks, J., & Fisher, C. (2018) Green Innovation and Economic Growth in a North-South Model. Paper presented at the 6th World congress of Environmental and Resource Economists, 25-29 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

 Sampedro, J., Markandya, A., Smith, S. J., Van Dingenen, R., Pizarro-Irizar, C., Arto, I., & González-Eguino, M. (2018) Health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study. Paper presented at the 6th World congress of Environmental and Resource Economists, 25-29 June 2018, Gothenburg, Sweden.

 Hofman, E., (2018). Enhancing Ambition Levels in Nationally Determined Climate Contributions – Learning from Technology Needs Assessments?. Paper presented at the 13th International Conference of the International Society for the Intercommunication of New Ideas, 30-31 August 2018, Wroclaw, Poland.

 Nikas, A., Doukas, H., van der Gaast, W., & Szendrei, K. (2018). Expert Views on Low-Carbon Transition Strategies for the Dutch Solar Sector: A Delay-Based Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping Approach. Paper presented at the 18th IFAC Conference on Technology, Culture and International Stability, 13-15 September 2018, Baku, Azerbaidschan.

 López Prol, J., & Steininger, K. W. (2018). The social profitability of photovoltaics in Germany. Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications, 26(8), 631-641. https://doi.org/10.1002/pip.2988

 Sampedro, J., Arto, I., & González-Eguino, M. (2017). Implications of Switching Fossil Fuel Subsidies to Solar: A Case Study for the European Union. Sustainability, 10(1), 50. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10010050

 Nikas, A., Gkonis, N., Forouli, & A., Doukas, H. (2018). Fostering innovative energy policy making through integrated approaches. Paper presented at the 6th International Conference on Renewable Energy Sources and Energy Efficiency, 1-2 November, Nicosia, Cyprus.

 Bachner, G., Mayer, J., & Steininger, K. W. (2018). The economy-wide effects of deep decarbonization and its uncertainties - The case of the European iron and steel industry. Paper presented at the Seminar, IIASA, November, Laxenburg, Vienna.

 Sorman, A. (2018). Stories from Spanish stakeholders: Perceptions, policy mixes and the climate change and energy transition law in Spain. Paper presented at the 100xCiencia.3 - Bridging Science and Society conference, 15 November 2018, Madrid, Spain.

 Virla, L., Lieu, J., van de Ven, D.-J., & Smith, A. (2018). Mixed methods for the analysis of risks in low-carbon futures for the Canadian Oil Sands. Paper presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2018, 10-14 December 2018, Washington, D.C., USA.

 Mayer, J., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. (2019). Macroeconomic implications of switching to process-emission-free iron and steel production in Europe. Journal of Cleaner Production, 210, 1517–1533. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.118

 Bachner, G., Wolkinger, B., Mayer, J., Tuerk, A., & Steininger, K.W. (2018). Risk assessment of the low-carbon transition of Austria’s steel and electricity sectors. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions, in press. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eist.2018.12.005

 Bachner, G., Mayer, J., & Steininger, K. (2019). Costs or benefits? Assessing the economy-wide effects of the electricity sector’s low carbon transition – The role of capital costs, divergent risk perceptions and premiums. Energy Strategy Reviews, 26, 100373. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2019.100373

 Wolkinger, B., Mayer, J., Tuerk, A., Bachner, G., & Steininger, K. (2019). Co-d¬esigning a low-c¬arbon transition pathway focusing on energy supply for the iron and steel sector, in Hanger-Kopp, S., Lieu, J., Nikas, A. (Eds.), Narratives of Low-Carbon Transitions: Understanding Risks and Uncertainties. Routledge, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge, 2019. | Series: Routledge studies in energy transitions, pp. 25–44, doi:10.4324/9780429458781-3

TRANSrisk Relevant Publications

Here is a list of TRANSrisk articles in media and relevant platforms.

 

European Office of Cyprus News, Issue January 2016

"Livestock farming transition pathways in the Netherlands" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Uncertainties and Risks for Climate Policy – a review" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"MATISE – System Mapping Tool" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Assessing pathways for rapid solar PV expansion in the Netherlands" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

Coal Generation in Great Britain: The pathway to a low-carbon future

"Consider stakeholder preferences and knowledge for low-emission transition pathways" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Evaluation of Indonesian transition pathways in biogas utilisation" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Model runs for low-emission pathways based on stakeholder questions" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"New coal-fired plants jeopardise Paris Agreement" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Tackling climate change can improve public health" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

Road freight transport decarbonisation in Sweden by 2030

"Mitigation implication of sea ice albedo feedback and tipping points in the Arctic" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Implications of Permafrost Carbon Feedback for Climate Change Control" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Energy for Africa: challenges and opportunities" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Land of plenty? Assessing the land use impacts of renewable energy" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Expert assessment of risks in climate change mitigation pathways" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Guiding the low-carbon transition with evidence-based policy tools" (European Commission's website)

"A successful collaboration for green businesses and bioenergy in Indonesia" (European Commission's website)

"What will Brexit mean for the climate? (Clue: it doesn’t look good)" (The Conversation UK website)

TRANSrisk mention (MEDEAS project website)

"Nearly half a million homes in Chile suffer energy vulnerability" (LaTercera website - Interview in Spanish)

"Ice-free summers in Arctic Ocean could thwart Paris Agreement objectives" (AGU's "GeoSpace" Blog)

Radio Interview of Mikel González Eguino regarding the comparison of health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement (EITB website - in Spanish)

Press Release of BC3 regarding the TRANSrisk funded scientific publication "health co-benefits from air pollution and mitigation costs of the Paris Agreement: a modelling study" (BC3 website)

Reaching global warming targets under ice-free Arctic summers requires zero emissions by 2045 (CORDIS website)

"Exploring Public Acceptance of Renewable Energy in Kenya" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Concluding the bioenergy workshop series in Bali" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Electric Road Systems and the European Union" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"The carbon bubble and investment risk – getting capital costs 'right' in Europe’s electricity sector transition" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Framework for qualitative assessment of side-effects of low-emission transition pathways in livestock farming in the Netherlands" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

"Are small modular reactors game changers for the UK electricity system?" (Climatechangemitigation.eu)

Events

Here are the events (co-)organised by TRANSrisk

 

Interventions

Here are the events in which TRANSrisk has participated

 

Videos

Videos related to the TRANSrisk progress and/or events.

 

 

Infographics

TRANSrisk Infographics visualise key concepts and/or results of the project.

 

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Flyer, Brochures, Posters, Presentations

Main concepts of TRANSrisk are featured via related dissemination material such as flyers, brochures, posters and presentations.

 

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